Statistical Analysis - Long term estimation of weather for summer 2014 (Berlin)
Forecast for summer 2014 (Berlin):
General Trend - estimation
Summer trend in Berlin (34 year statistical sample)
Trend of average temperature at 850 hPa: increasing at a rate of 0,016 degrees Celsius / year.
Summer 2013: average temperature at 850 hPa = 8,5 degrees Celsius.
Summer 2014: estimation of average temperature at 850 hPa = 7,7 degrees Celsius.
Summer 2014: 0,6 degrees Celsius warmer than average climatic values.
June 2014
June 2014: 0,3 degrees colder than average climatic values.
June 2014: average temperature at 850h Pa = 5,4 degrees Celsius.
July 2014
July 2014: 0,9 degrees warmer than average climatic values.
July 2014: average temperature at 850h Pa = 8,7 degrees Celsius.
August 2014
August 2014: 0,6 degrees warmer than average climatic values.
August 2014: average temperature at 850 hPa = 7,7 degrees Celsius.
Summary:
-higher temperatures than climatic values/warm weather: beginning of July till beginning of August.
-lower temperatures than climatic values/cool weather: fall of June till beginning of July.
Dimtrios Kabolis
YouWeather.com
The above analysis is a weather estimation and not a weather forecast.
Data provided by the NOAA/OAR/ESRL PSD, Boulder, Colorado, USA, from their Web site at http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/
Date submitted: 5/15/2014
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