Statistical Analysis - Long term estimation of weather for summer 2014 (New York)
Forecast for summer 2014 (New York):
General Trend - estimation
Summer trend in New York (34 year statistical sample)
Trend of average temperature at 850 hPa: increasing at a rate of 0,020 degrees Celsius / year.
Summer 2013: average temperature at 850 hPa = 15,2 degrees Celsius.
Summer 2014: estimation of average temperature at 850 hPa = 13.1 degrees Celsius.
Summer 2014: 1,4 degrees Celsius colder than average climatic values.
June 2014
June 2014: 2 degrees colder than average climatic values.
June 2014: average temperature at 850h Pa = 11,3 degrees Celsius.
July 2014
July 2014: 1,3 degrees colder than average climatic values.
July 2014: average temperature at 850h Pa = 14,2 degrees Celsius.
August 2014
August 2014: 0,9 degrees colder than average climatic values.
August 2014: average temperature at 850 hPa = 13,9 degrees Celsius.
Summary:
-higher temperatures than climatic values/warm weather: beginning of July and beginning of August.
-lower temperatures than climatic values/cool weather: June, middle to fall of July and middle to fall of August.
Dimtrios Kabolis
YouWeather.com
The above analysis is a weather estimation and not a weather forecast.
Data provided by the NOAA/OAR/ESRL PSD, Boulder, Colorado, USA, from their Web site at http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/
Ημ/νία καταχώρησης: 18/5/2014
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