Statistical Analysis - Long term estimation of weather for winter 2015 (Montreal)

 

Long term weather forecast for winter 2015 (Montreal):

General Trend - estimation
 
Summer trend in Montreal (34 year statistical sample)
 
Trend of average temperature at 850 hPa: decreasing during the last years.
Winter 2014: average temperature at 850 hPa = -12 degrees Celsius.
Winter 2015: estimation of average temperature at 850 hPa = -11.7 degrees Celsius.
Winter 2015: 2.4 degrees Celsius colder than average climatic values.
 
December 2014
 
December 2014: 1.5 degrees colder then average climatic values.
December 2014: average temperature at 850h Pa = -8.9 degrees Celsius.
 
January 2015
 
January 2015: 0.2 degrees colder than average climatic values.
January 2015: average temperature at 850h Pa = -10.7 degrees Celsius.
 
February 2014
 
February 2015: 1 degrees warmer than average climatic values.
February 2015: average temperature at 850 hPa = -8.9 degrees Celsius.
 
Summary:
-lower temperatures than climatic values/very cold weather: December and beggining of January.
-higher temperatures than climatic values: fall of January and middle of February.
 
Dimtrios Kabolis
YouWeather.com
 
The above analysis is weather estimation and not weather forecast.
 
Data provided by the NOAA/OAR/ESRL PSD, Boulder, Colorado, USA, from their Web site at http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/

 

Ημ/νία καταχώρησης: 11/12/2014