Statistical Analysis - Long term estimation of weather for winter 2015 (Moscow)
Long term weather forecast for winter 2015 (Moscow):
General Trend - estimation
Summer trend in Moscow (34 year statistical sample)
Trend of average temperature at 850 hPa: increasing at a rate of 0.01 degrees Celsius / year.
Winter 2014: average temperature at 850 hPa = -5.8 degrees Celsius.
Winter 2015: estimation of average temperature at 850 hPa = -9.2 degrees Celsius.
Winter 2015: 1.1 degrees Celsius colder than average climatic values.
December 2014
December 2014: 1 degrees colder then average climatic values.
December 2014: average temperature at 850h Pa = -7 degrees Celsius.
January 2015
January 2015: 0.6 degrees colder than average climatic values.
January 2015: average temperature at 850h Pa = -8.4 degrees Celsius.
February 2014
February 2015: 1.8 degrees colder than average climatic values.
February 2015: average temperature at 850 hPa = -8.8 degrees Celsius.
Summary:
-lower temperatures than climatic values/very cold weather: beggining and fall of December, beggining of January, beggining of February and middle of February.
-higher temperatures than climatic values: middle of December, middle to fall of January and 2nd week of February.
Dimtrios Kabolis
YouWeather.com
The above analysis is weather estimation and not weather forecast.
Data provided by the NOAA/OAR/ESRL PSD, Boulder, Colorado, USA, from their Web site at http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/
Ημ/νία καταχώρησης: 12/12/2014
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